Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#59
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#54
Pace75.0#51
Improvement-3.3#309

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#62
First Shot+3.7#71
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#124
Layup/Dunks+2.3#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#242
Freethrows+4.0#4
Improvement-0.6#214

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#75
First Shot+2.6#89
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#51
Layups/Dunks+4.1#36
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#294
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement-2.6#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 72.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 72.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four18.6% n/a n/a
First Round61.6% n/a n/a
Second Round18.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 1.01.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 2.03.0 - 3.0
Quad 28.0 - 3.011.0 - 6.0
Quad 35.0 - 2.016.0 - 8.0
Quad 46.0 - 2.022.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 102-94 2OT 88%     1 - 0 +3.2 +1.4 -0.4
  Nov 09, 2018 331   McNeese St. W 80-52 97%     2 - 0 +13.4 +2.0 +12.6
  Nov 12, 2018 217   Long Beach St. W 90-58 90%     3 - 0 +26.2 +1.0 +20.4
  Nov 19, 2018 20   Mississippi St. W 72-67 26%     4 - 0 +19.9 +6.6 +13.4
  Nov 21, 2018 37   Utah St. W 87-82 39%     5 - 0 +16.1 +7.0 +8.5
  Nov 28, 2018 162   Nebraska Omaha W 89-71 85%     6 - 0 +15.1 +5.8 +8.3
  Dec 01, 2018 238   Texas Southern W 83-71 92%     7 - 0 +4.8 +0.8 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2018 26   Nevada L 66-72 31%     7 - 1 +7.5 -3.3 +11.0
  Dec 15, 2018 115   @ Georgia W 76-74 56%     8 - 1 +8.7 +2.8 +5.9
  Dec 17, 2018 142   @ Vanderbilt L 65-81 65%     8 - 2 -11.6 -5.5 -5.7
  Dec 22, 2018 17   Kansas W 80-76 35%     9 - 2 +16.3 +7.9 +8.0
  Dec 29, 2018 173   Princeton L 66-67 86%     9 - 3 -4.5 -4.2 -0.3
  Jan 03, 2019 99   Utah L 86-96 73%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -7.9 +2.2 -9.3
  Jan 05, 2019 65   Colorado W 83-61 63%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +26.9 +14.9 +12.1
  Jan 09, 2019 231   @ California W 80-66 82%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +12.8 +5.8 +7.0
  Jan 12, 2019 103   @ Stanford L 71-85 53%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -6.5 -0.5 -5.1
  Jan 17, 2019 85   Oregon St. W 70-67 69%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +6.1 -0.3 +6.5
  Jan 19, 2019 43   Oregon W 78-64 52%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +21.9 +16.0 +6.6
  Jan 24, 2019 108   @ UCLA W 84-73 54%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +18.3 +3.3 +13.6
  Jan 26, 2019 84   @ USC L 67-69 49%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +6.7 -6.2 +13.0
  Jan 31, 2019 98   Arizona W 95-88 OT 72%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +9.3 +20.6 -11.5
  Feb 07, 2019 205   Washington St. L 70-91 89%     15 - 7 6 - 4 -26.4 -21.1 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2019 51   Washington W 75-63 56%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +18.8 +3.6 +14.5
  Feb 13, 2019 65   @ Colorado L 73-77 42%     16 - 8 7 - 5 +6.5 +8.7 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2019 99   @ Utah W 98-87 53%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +18.6 +20.4 -2.2
  Feb 20, 2019 103   Stanford W 80-62 73%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +19.9 +11.3 +8.8
  Feb 24, 2019 231   California W 69-59 91%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +3.2 -2.3 +6.4
  Feb 28, 2019 43   @ Oregon L 51-79 31%     19 - 9 10 - 6 -14.6 -11.1 -4.1
  Mar 03, 2019 85   @ Oregon St. W 74-71 49%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +11.7 +7.4 +4.4
  Mar 09, 2019 98   @ Arizona W 72-64 52%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +15.9 +0.3 +15.1
  Mar 14, 2019 108   UCLA W 83-72 64%     22 - 9 +15.5 +10.5 +4.9
  Mar 15, 2019 43   Oregon L 75-79 OT 41%     22 - 10 +6.7 +8.7 -2.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 72.0% 72.0% 10.5 0.7 6.3 26.9 34.3 3.7 28.0 72.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 72.0% 0.0% 72.0% 10.5 0.7 6.3 26.9 34.3 3.7 28.0 72.0%